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Thursday, April 2, 2009

Small losses, Massive Profits: A Stock Trading Strategy

By Jordan Weir

Are you one to throw caution to the wind, or do you cut your losses short, and let your profits ride? It may surprise you to realize that while many traders think they cut their losses short, and let their profits run, there is a simple technique that will allow them greatly amplify those profits, while keeping their losses manageable. This technique is known as pyramiding your profits.

In order to properly pyramid your profits, you must understand a basic tenant of risk management. This tenant alone is enough to bring many an unprofitable trader to profitability, but only once combined with the idea of pyramiding profits, can its true utility be realized. This tenant states that no more then 5% of your portfolio should be at risk during any trade. Thus someone with a $50000 portfolio can risk $2500 on a trade. This doesnt mean they cant invest more then $2500, but it means that when setting a stop loss, your initial position size should be based on the $2500 number.

To determine your position size, what you do is you take the amount your willing to risk, and divide that by the amount your risking per share (the difference between the stock price, and your stop loss). So on a $20 stock, if your stop loss is at 17.50, and your risking $2500, then you do $2500/2.50 = 1000 shares. Your position size should be 1000 shares.

With your standard trade, that would be hit. An order to sell at a certain price, and order to buy at a certain price, and a stop loss. When your pyramiding your profits though, there's an integral extra step. When the stock has gone up in price, and you have some profits, you add MORE to the position. Lets say it goes up to $22.50, and you decide to move your stop loss up to $21.00. You now have 1000 in gains if you get stopped out. To pyramid your profits, you add that 1000 in gains to your risk amount for the trade, for a total of $3500. Since its now at 22.50, and we can risk up to $3500, then we should purchase another 2300 shares. (3500/1.5 = 2334).

If it gets stopped out at 21, then you made gains of $1000 on the shares bought at 20, but you lost $3450 on the shares bought at 22.50, for a total loss of 2450, which is approximately how much you were risking on this trade. If it then continues to go up to $25/share, then you made $5000 on the shares bought at 20, and another $5750 on the shares you bought at 22.50, giving you a total gain of $10750, while only putting 2500 at risk. By adding shares, or pyramiding your profits, you substantially increased the potential reward of the trade, while maintaining a safe level of risk, and by cutting your losses short, and letting your profits run, your ability to profitably trade the markets will be greatly enhanced.

Make no mistake; this strategy is applicable to long term investors as well. Assuming youre invested in an up trending stock, then adding shares to your investment whenever it breaks above the last high will greatly assist in maximizing the profits from the big overall trends that appear in the markets. If you're investing for longer time periods, its advisable to leave some profit in the case of it hitting the stop loss.

The interesting thing about this strategy is while its almost the opposite of some conventional wisdom " you never go broke taking a profit " it does strongly adhere to the idea of cutting losses short and letting profits run. The key is to do more of whats working, and less of what isn't, and that's exactly what this kind of trade accomplishes.

The art of pyramiding your profits is essential to long term success in the stock market. They say that even some of the best traders are only right 50%, 40%, sometimes even only 30% of the time, but as that example showed, by pyramiding your profits, your gains will far outweigh the small losses you occasionally take. - 23226

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