Online Trading With The Head and Shoulders Top Pattern
When it comes to technical analysis, the Head and Shoulders Top is a classic pattern. It is arguably one of the most popular and reliable patterns, period. The reason for its popularity has to do with the fact that new and veteran investors alike can easily recognize it. Is it reliable? You bet. This pattern rarely produces false positives.
Recognizing a Head And Shoulders Top Bluntly, the Head and Shoulders top patterns looks like a human head with two shoulders to each side. The left shoulder reaches a peak, then pulls back before rallying higher than the previous peak, then pulling back, and rallying a third time, though not higher than the second rally (the head). Each shoulder should rally to approximately the same levels as one another.
Technical analysis will take this one step farther by stipulating volume requirements. Essentially, the first peak (left shoulder) will see the heaviest volume as the stock increases. The head and right shoulder will show diminished volume.
Technical Considerations In addition to the visual representation of the three rallies with the second reaching higher and the volume requirement, the head and shoulders top should also have a degree of symmetry where the two shoulders peak at approximately the same price levels. In addition, the neckline, which joins the pullbacks between rallies, can slope up or down, with downward sloping necklines being more bearish and, therefore, more ideal for investors looking to profit from weakness.
Another key point is that the pattern should take shape above a comparable moving average (MA). Typically, the 50-day moving average will work just fine, but investors are advised to use the 200-day moving average for longer-term patterns. And speaking of Moving Averages, the MA should be trending in the same direction as the Head and Shoulders top. If it doesn't, then it simply means the pattern is less reliable.
Trading The Head and Shoulders Top Since this is a bearish pattern, investors are advised to sell their position or take a short position in the underlying security. Investors who look to make trades based on the head and shoulders pattern should understand that the longer it takes for the pattern to develop, the longer it will take for the price to reach its target level. With this in mind, investors should also look at the inbound trend to determine whether it simply a period of consolidation or a legitimate head and shoulders. The rule of thumb here is that the inbound trend is longer than the trend of the pattern itself.
There are literally hundreds of securities that create head and shoulders tops after every trading day. The strength of this pattern will differ from security to security, which makes it difficult for investors to trade. As well, considerable knowledge of technical analysis is generally needed to properly identify the pattern. Consequently, for beginners or hands-off traders, trading software is often recommended. - 23226
Recognizing a Head And Shoulders Top Bluntly, the Head and Shoulders top patterns looks like a human head with two shoulders to each side. The left shoulder reaches a peak, then pulls back before rallying higher than the previous peak, then pulling back, and rallying a third time, though not higher than the second rally (the head). Each shoulder should rally to approximately the same levels as one another.
Technical analysis will take this one step farther by stipulating volume requirements. Essentially, the first peak (left shoulder) will see the heaviest volume as the stock increases. The head and right shoulder will show diminished volume.
Technical Considerations In addition to the visual representation of the three rallies with the second reaching higher and the volume requirement, the head and shoulders top should also have a degree of symmetry where the two shoulders peak at approximately the same price levels. In addition, the neckline, which joins the pullbacks between rallies, can slope up or down, with downward sloping necklines being more bearish and, therefore, more ideal for investors looking to profit from weakness.
Another key point is that the pattern should take shape above a comparable moving average (MA). Typically, the 50-day moving average will work just fine, but investors are advised to use the 200-day moving average for longer-term patterns. And speaking of Moving Averages, the MA should be trending in the same direction as the Head and Shoulders top. If it doesn't, then it simply means the pattern is less reliable.
Trading The Head and Shoulders Top Since this is a bearish pattern, investors are advised to sell their position or take a short position in the underlying security. Investors who look to make trades based on the head and shoulders pattern should understand that the longer it takes for the pattern to develop, the longer it will take for the price to reach its target level. With this in mind, investors should also look at the inbound trend to determine whether it simply a period of consolidation or a legitimate head and shoulders. The rule of thumb here is that the inbound trend is longer than the trend of the pattern itself.
There are literally hundreds of securities that create head and shoulders tops after every trading day. The strength of this pattern will differ from security to security, which makes it difficult for investors to trade. As well, considerable knowledge of technical analysis is generally needed to properly identify the pattern. Consequently, for beginners or hands-off traders, trading software is often recommended. - 23226
About the Author:
With more than 16 years of experience as a Financial Advisor for one of the world's largest commercial banks, Chris Blanchet is responsible for the Free Technical Analysis Course at Online Trader Today.com. He also maintains a Debt-Free Blog at How To Repay Debt.com.

