FAP Turbo

Make Over 90% Winning Trades Now!

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

You Need To Invest In Gold

By Michael Swanson

The world economy cannot take much more when it comes to currency. The value of a dollar is going down everyday and there is no hope in sight of that situation getting better. Gold mining companies are becoming very popular for this reason for stock picks. People are looking to invest in a sure thing in case their money become useless.

The gold used to represent the paper money. Today, there is more paper money than there is gold. Because of the bank failure during the great depression, President Roosevelt in the 1930's Passed a law to outlaw gold ownership.

Investors buy gold because they can make money on the increasing gold prices and also it is a great thing to have in case of social or economical turmoil where paper money would be rendered useless. This seems far fetched but it is actually something that could possibly happen.

You can buy bullion or coins or you can trade through the gold exchange traded funds. You can also invest in certificates, derivatives, shares or accounts.

As the value of the dollar decreases, the cost of gold increases. This is why you need to invest today. Do not hesitate. This is very important, especially if there is an economic disaster and our dollar is worth anything. When you go online make sure that you read articles and reviews that reveal how to invest and make the most out of your money. You need to know all that you can about gold so that you can get the best profit that is possible.

It is really a good idea to start investing in gold. If anything happens socially or economically, gold will still be worth more than a dollar will. If you take these helpful tips to account, then you should be able to buy gold at a good price. - 23226

About the Author:

Some Of The Risks Of A Covered Call

By Maclin Vestor

A covered call strategy is great, as it can allow you to get your income back, and put it to work elsewhere quickly. In addition, time value is certain, and covered calls will allow you to collect this value while speculators betting on a stock rising beyond the option price plus what they paid for the option will have to pay this amount to you no matter what. Even if the stock does go beyond this point, you don't incur a loss; instead, you miss out on potential gains. This can cause a covered call strategy to be more stable. You ultimately want the stock to expire at the money as this will allow you to collect the full premium, and still own the stock. Anything above this and your gains of your stock will cover the loss of the call and your gain will ultimately be the same. However, if it goes higher, you will have to repurchase your shares at a higher price, although selling another call against them will result in a higher premium.

Some covered calls will yield a 10% monthly return based on it's time value premium that you collect, meaning that in 10 months you will have your initial investment back if you can successful receive the full time value. The risk is not that the stock goes up in value and that you miss out on potential gains, as the yield will be roughly the same after appreciation, but that the stock goes down dramatically in value. However, you cannot lose more than your initial investment minus the full premium. This is a major point that critics of the covered call strategy often miss, as they say it has "the same risk profile as selling naked puts." This means that if you sell a put you are un-hedged, and if the stock goes to zero, you are also limited to the loss of the strike price minus zero times $100. Where a put owner will gain $100 per share ($10000 per contract) if a $100 stock goes to 0, a put seller will have to pay the put owner this $10,000 per contract. Selling puts is dangerous because people generally do not manage money well. The top 10% of people own the other 90% of wealth generally because the top 10% have learned to manage their money better than the other 90%.Selling puts is dangerous, because if you sell a $100 put for $500 your gain is capped to $500 per contract for a given length of time, and your potential loss is $10,000. Now a covered call owner may be capping his gain to lets say $500, and if the stock goes to zero, he is also going to potentially lose $10,000. So why is a covered call generally less risky? The reason why is that unless the seller of the put has $10,000, then he risks going on margin. In addition to actually having to have put up what the buyer affords to risk, The buyer of the stock not only is required to have that 10,000 before he can buy 100 shares of $100, but even someone with a limited understanding of risk management will do at least something to manage risks, even if it's still investing a high percentage such as 20% of the income that loss is limited to 20% of the portfolio. Technically that buyer should risk only a smaller percentage of his capital. A seller of a put receives $500, but to collect $500 and have to leave $50,000 to the side doesn't seem naturally as rational. People that invest in a covered call buying a stock for $10,000 and collecting a $500 premium and invest the remaining $40,000 will be risking less than someone who sells a naked put, but invests the remaining cash. Of course the reason is, the put seller has to have $10,000 to cash if the stock goes to zero.

However, there's an even greater difference. In the event of a loss when the stock doesn't go to 0, the covered call seller experiences a paper loss; where as a put seller experiences a real loss. The covered call owner might put up $10,000 and that $10,000 suddenly is only good for $8,000 and all he has received is the $500 premium for the covered call. However, if this person has done the research and determined that the stock is undervalued, and is currently in a panic due to margin calls and forced selling, and that the fundamentals are good, the covered call owner still owns the 100 shares of the stock that they determined to be worth $140 at $100. Technically the put seller could choose to buy that same stock at $100 which is now worth $80, and put up the money rather than take the $20 per share loss. However, the covered call owner has likely researched the stock, has determined it to be undervalued and intends on owning this stock anyways. The put seller doesn't want to own this stock, instead expects the stock to remain neutral, and just wants to collect the $500. If the covered call owner was wrong, that means the stock goes lower than he expects, however that doesn't mean that the stock still wouldn't be undervalued even more so. If the put seller is wrong, the put seller will have to buy 100 shares of an $80 stock at $100. It may just seem like semantics, but the covered call owner already has bought the stock where as the put seller may not really believe he has to buy the stock. A put seller gets paid to buy the stock at a set price, where the covered caller gets paid to own the stock. Psychologically, it's a lot easier for a put seller to say "well I'm a good investor I think, my bet is probably right, I don't need to worry about the fact that the stock might drop in value because I don't think it will. I don't need to do more research, and oh, by the way, this extra $10,000 on the side, I can invest it elsewhere because I'm a good investor, and I'm not going to lose. An over confident put seller can lose everything in the account and then some with even a drop from $100 to $80, where as a covered call owner who is over confident will probably only lose a maximum of the amount he owns in that individual stock minus the price of the stock, and that's if the stock goes to all the way to zero.

In many ways they are a similar strategy betting a stock won't go up beyond a certain point, and that it won't go down beyond a certain point. But a person who writes a covered call will be forced to have the money to pay for it and on maximum in a margin account that person can only go on 2:1 margin. If a covered call buyer with $10,000 risked $20,000 they might need to transfer some money from their bank to their stock account and come up with $10,000

If someone sells puts, they are not technically on margin until a major loss occurs, however, if they sell 10 covered calls of a stock at $100 at $500 each, they risk losing $100,000 if it goes to zero. Put sellers most likely think that has a low probability of happening. Covered callers may think the same thing is true, the difference is, covered callers can never bet more than twice what they have even on margin, and most people won't go on margin anyways simply because they don't have the account set up to. Put sellers will usually HAVE to have a margin account to sell puts.

Selling puts requires a more sophisticated understanding as well, and when lost in the technical, I believe it's easier to forget about what you are betting on happening. If you sell an out of the money covered call, you are betting on it going down less than what you received for the option, or going up to the strike price (or higher, but gain is capped). If you already own a stock, it's easier to understand that you are trading upside potential for income, where as put sellers are risking money they don't have committing to buying a stock at a certain price no matter what betting that a stock will do the same thing essentially. But leveraged buyers and sellers are generally not the type that likes to have money on the sideline.

Naked call seller as are collecting income but if the stock goes up, they have unlimited risk since they do not own the stock that will cover them in case the stock goes higher. Selling a naked call could potentially result in unlimited margin. However in order for a stock to go unlimited gains, it has to have an unlimited amount of money put into it. This does not happen, especially to the largest of large cap stocks that are already heavily owned on heavily leveraged companies... However, large amounts of cash reserves still are needed, as large caps still appreciate in value, sometimes significantly. Being un-hedged and selling any sort of shares "naked" is not recommended. In theory there may be an identical hedged strategy, but in practice it just doesn't work out the same way. - 23226

About the Author:

Know Forex Pips (Part II)

By Ahmad Hassam

In order to obtain the dollar value of the pip if the quote currency is anything other than US Dollar, the results must be converted to dollars using the current exchange rate between the quote currency and the US Dollar. Here are a few examples:

Example#1: Consider the currency pair USD/JPY. USD is the base currency. JPY is the quote currency here. Using our formula: Pip value for 1 standard lot of USD/JPY= 100,000 (Lot Size)*1(No of Lots)*0.01(Pip Size) = 1000.

You need to convert this pip value into USD if your account is in US Dollar. The quote currency is in Yen, so the value of 1 pip on a standard lot is also in Yen. The broker will do that for you automatically if you instruct the broker to do so.

You should know that your profit and loss will stay in that currency you made a profit or loss in until you instruct the broker to exchange those currencies into your own base currency. However, lets do it ourselves as well.

Suppose the USD/JPY rate is 101.02. In order to make the conversion to USD, you need the USD/JPY exchange rate. So the exchange rate is 101.02. The Dollar pip value will be 1000/101.02= $ 9.89. Therefore, 1 pip is equal to $ 9.89 in the case of USD/JPY for a standard lot at the exchange rate of 101.02.

Example#2: Now consider the currency pair EUR/GBP. It is a cross currency pair. Meaning it does not involve USD on any side. The base currency in this case is Euro and the quote currency is British Pound.

Here, the quote currency is in British Pounds, hence the value of pip is also in Pounds. Pip value for a standard lot of EUR/GBP= 100,000 (Lot Size)*1 (Number of Lots)*0.0001(Pip Size) = 10.

You need the GBP/USD exchange rate in order to convert into USD. Suppose the GBP/USD exchange rate is 1.8465. Dollar pip value will be 10*1.8465=$18.46.

Third Example: The base currency is Euro in the currency pair EUR/USD. The quote currency is in USD so you wont have to make any conversions. Pip value on a standard lot=100,000(Lot Size)*1(Number of Lots)*0.0001(Pip Size) = $10 per pip.

Surprisingly, leverage does not affect the pip value. Leverage chosen by the trader whether it is 50:1, 100:1 200:1, 400:1 or somewhere in between, has absolutely no bearing whatsoever on the pip value. However, the lot size, amount of lots traded and the specific currency pair traded will certainly affect the pip value.

The exchange rate for any currency pair is expressed in the form of bid/ask. For example the EUR/USD exchange rate might be 0.9955/0.9959. The first number is the bid price that you will get if you sell Euros against US Dollar. The second number is the ask price, the price at which the broker will sell you Euros against US Dollar.

The difference between the bid and ask price is known as the spread. This is the brokers profit. Sometimes there can be slippage also. New traders often think that the difference between the price they see on their charts and the price the broker quotes them is slippage. This is wrong. Your charting software and broker prices are two different things. - 23226

About the Author:

Six Factors To Ponder When Seeking A Forex Broker

By Richard Henry

Selecting the right people to aid you could be your ticket to success in Forex Trading. As such, you must make sure you employ an agent that is worth every penny you pay him, and more. You see, a Forex adviser is the individual who will trade in your place, and whether you earn a profit or not, you will have to compensate him, in the form of a charge. So, if you do not want to waste funds, it is crucial for you to locate the perfect broker.

Here are six factors to look into:

1. Check their record. You will know if a broker is capable or not by looking at his numbers. If he is making a lot of money, it means that he is an experienced broker.

2. Scrutinize. A little qualifications check would not hurt. This may well save you a lot of money because it keeps you away from lying brokers. You can make inquiries from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission or CFTC, or the Futures Commission Merchant or FCM. You should also make absolutely certain he is a member of the NFA, or the National Futures Association. If you find his records dubious, then look someplace else.

3. Contemplate his deposit requirements. Although there is really no need for a deposit to initiate trading, many Forex brokers insist on it as a means of guarantee for themselves in case they will not be compensated by the investor. In spite of this, the deposit should not be too unreasonable; the regular asking rate is $200-$500.

4. Obtain trustworthy and successful software. Your agent ought to be able to tell you about the function of software as a tool in trading. You can employ a demo account, which allows you to try out the software prior to buying it.

5. Bear in mind the use of currency pairs. This is something a superior broker should do, utilize an ample array of currency pairs. Short list a broker that uses the currency pairs you like, as each one has a distinctive pattern.

6. They musthave customer service. Trading is very dynamic, and at any given time, you will want the support of your broker. You do not want to awaken him in the dead of night just to trade. It would be very convenient for the two of you if your broker has a helpdesk you can call, 24/7. Of course, having excellent customer service is important too.

Before you enter the arena of Forex Trading, you need to go over these factors and see to it that you will be capable of tackling these in your search for a good broker. Foreign Exchange (Forex) Markets is only a place where traders can trade a currency for a new currency. It is a place where currencies can be bought and sold speedily and in real-time.

Well-known banks, large multi-national companies, local governments and other financial institutions use the Forex Market as a avenue for exchange.

What makes the Forex Market so popular?

Seeing as currency trading, involves sizeable amounts of funds, many are attracted to the Forex Market owing to the return they could make in one solo winning trade. Lots of traders or companies earned millions in just one trade, that is why its impossible not to draw in new prospective traders who are disposed to imperil their money in exchange for possible proceeds.

Distinctiveness of FX Markets

Forex Markets differ due to the following reasons:

a. Forex Market attracts traders from global markets, so the number of trades are huge.

b. Currencies have the capability to be bought and sold promptly, without moving from the company itself, hence saving priceless loss in time and money.

c. Obtainable in every hour throughout the day (except on Saturdays and Sundays).

d. With the Forex Market, it does not matter where you are located on the planet. There are no geographical restrictions.

Forex Terminology

Here are some of the expressions generally used in the forex markets:

1. RATE - selling price of one currency.

2. BID OR SELL PRICE - the amount which traders can vend currencies.

3. ASK, BUY OR OFFER PRICE - the amount which traders may buy currencies.

4. SPREAD - the bid price minus the ask price.

5. TRANSACTION COST - the amount charge to you when you make transactions in the Forex Market. It is usually the ask price minus the bid price.

The difference between the Forex Market and the Stock Exchange Market? The Stock Market trades in stocks, the Forex Market trades in currencies. Each market involves buying and selling, the only difference is that with the Stock Market, rules are stringently followed. This is to thwart companies from monopolizing stocks. That is why the Stock Market is greatly regulated and has a strict environment compared to the Forex Market where there are no such rules and regulations.

How to commence trading in the Forex Market?

The best thing to do to begin trading in the Forex Market is to do research and to talk to an investment company or stock broker that specializes in this market. It is critical for you to know what form of Forex Trading they do before you invest your capital. Go to the one that has a trustworthy background and to whom you could trust your savings.

The earnings can be really extreme but at all times bear in mind that Forex Markets change continuously and it is really very chancy to invest There. You could clear a lot today and lose it all tomorrow. So know when is a good time to buy and sell your currencies.

The best counsel is that you must play your money smart, think really hard before making very important decisions and be very well informed, that is the answer to success in practically any trade or profession. - 23226

About the Author:

British Pound Profile (Part III)

By Ahmad Hassam

UK tends to share a more common set of views with the United States. Economically, the United Kingdom is more free-market oriented than Europe. The United Kingdom cant totally disassociate itself from Europe at the same time, given its history and its geography. The upshot is a currency that is affected by politics at home and on the two continents to which its destiny is so closely related.

The GBP/USD is one of the most liquid currency pairs in the world. 6% of the all the global currency trading involves GBP as either the base or counter currency. The British Pound GBP) is active against the dollar and the euro, offering good opportunities to trade both pairs (GBP/USD and USD/GBP).

One of the reasons for GBP liquidity is the countrys highly developed capital markets. GBP is also in the four most traded major currency pairs EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and USD/CHF in the world.

Many hedge funds are located in London. UK is an important foreign investment destination. Many foreign investors seeking to diversify their investment other than the United States send their funds to the UK. Foreigner investors need to convert their local currency into GBP in order to create these investments.

GBP had one of the highest interest rates in the developed countries. Although Australia and New Zealand had still higher interest rates but their financial markets are not as well developed as UK. GBP was full of speculators one two years back.

Carry trading was popular with many hedge fund managers. It is a long term fundamental trading strategy. Carry traders would use GBP as the lending currency taking advantage of the high interest rates and would go long against USD, JPY and CHF.

The BOE was forced to lower the interest rates to cope with the present financial crisis. The present global financial crisis has taken a heavy toll on the British Banks as well. There have been a number of high profile bankruptcies. UK Treasury had to intervene heavily in the market by pumping money into a number of failing banks in order to stabilize the financial markets.

Interest rate differentials between UK gilts/US Treasuries is a barometer for GBP/USD flows and UK gilts/German Bunds is a barometer for EUR/GBP flow. These interest rate differentials are widely watched by the professional forex traders to judge where the money will flow between US, UK and EU. Interest rates have been lowered. An exodus of carry traders took place that increased volatility in GBP with the lowering of the interest rates.

Indications on adopting the Euro usually put negative pressure on GBP while further opposition to Euro boosts GBP. The three month eurosterling futures reflect market expectations on UK interest rates three months into the future and can help predict fluctuations of GBP/USD.

GBP/USD currency pair tends to be more sensitive to the developments in the US economy. GBP/USD currency pair is more liquid than EUR/USD pair. However, EUR/GBP is the leading gauge for GBP strength. EUR/GBP is a more pure fundamental pound trade as EU is the UK primary trading and investment partner. GBP has positive correlation with the energy prices. You must keep these facts in mind while determining your bias for GBP as a currency trader. - 23226

About the Author: